Online Stock Trading | Did the FOMC know about the PPI before the Rate Decision?

Did the FOMC know about the PPI before the Rate Decision?


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Tuesday’s release of the FOMC target rate decision brought disappointment to many traders on Wall Street who were looking for 50bps.  The leak to the media about a cash injection has only caused Wall Street to distrust the FOMC.  Fast forward to Thursday morning prior to the release of the PPI numbers.  Wall Street was definitely looking for a tame number, nothing outrageous…then bam!  PPI vaulted higher, but did the FOMC foresee this when they released their rate decision?  Consipiracy aside, inflation is the number one concern of the FOMC and my concern is how I position myself each day for the market.

Certainly now, we have a situation where the market isn’t in a clear direction.  Clearly price action continues to diverge from volume.  All the volume is to the downside with very little volume to the upside.  One may conclude that we should automatically be positioning for the downside.  However, the market keeps rising so what should I do?  There is always an option other than go long or short the market and that is sitting on the sidelines.  Its an overlooked option, and its one we should definitely  look at!

There are some positions that I could be going long here, AVAV is one.  However, I am mostly in cash at the moment.  Will Friday bring “the day” to go short?  It could be however, we simply do not know where the market is headed next and we haven’t seen any good setups.   Cash is quite boring and is a difficult place to be for most people.  The reason being is because most will feel like they are “missing out” on the market.  Wars are not one in one battle but in many, but if you overextend yourself in one battle you may not have the resources to fight another.

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Comments

One Response to “Did the FOMC know about the PPI before the Rate Decision?”

  1. Monster Stock Trader » Blog Archive » Did the FOMC know about the PPI before the Rate Decision? on December 14th, 2007 11:42 am

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