Stocks Rebound from Massive Oversold Conditions
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Oversold conditions spark a sharp recovery as shorts covered their positions
We’ve seen this story more than once, a sharp massive recovery after setting new lows. The huge % gain on the day came on volume but it wasn’t accumulation from insititutional investors. Big boys do not like to run up the price on themselves and chasing anything beyond 1-2% beyond their buying levels. Stocks are simply oversold, not as oversold as they were on 10/10 but nonetheless oversold. Look for the market to have a relief rally heading into this holiday week and volume to be on the lighter side. Any longs remain suspect and your losses should be cut short. Keep a tight leash on everything and do not let losses run wildly.
This market has a ways to go, I am looking for the S&P500 to finally end up around 400-500 and the NASDAQ to find its bottom between 800-1000. In the coming days I will review each index and the history of P/E contraction during economic recession. Remember, human emotion will always overreact to certain conditions within the market. Our best defense: CUTTING LOSSES.
These are interesting times, you should use this rally to setup new short positions no matter what kind of Bargain is out there.
Enjoy,
MS
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